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09-Mar-2001 10:08 PM
  Karabagh, dangerious situation.
masis
Statements by Armenian and Azerbaijani officials who returned home from Paris yesterday indicate that the same thing has happened this time. Admittedly, vague hints are being heard from Baku and Yerevan that "the potential does exist for the most speedy resolution of the conflict as early as this year" but no details are being divulged.

However, there was obviously no rapprochement in the sides' positions. Baku is still insisting on the restoration of its sovereignty over the territory of Nagorno Karabakh and is urging Yerevan to adopt a "constructive stance". Yerevan and Stepanakert are still unwilling to do so.

An Azerbaijani opposition forum took place in Baku on March 6 at which an alternative plan for the settlement of the conflict was proposed. The authors of the program are former Foreign Minister Tofiq Zulfuqarov and the former aide to President Heydar Aliyev, Eldar Namazov. Both men resigned in November 1999 in protest at the "authorities' capitulatory policy during the talks with the Armenian side". The program allows for the provision of autonomy for the Karabakh Armenians within Azerbaijan, but only if Armenia recognizes Karabakh as an integral part of Azerbaijan.

Should the Armenian side be slow with its response the plan presupposes the immediate commencement of a so-called humanitarian operation. During this operation the Azerbaijani army is to embark on liberating occupied territories outside Nagornoo Karabakh. "But in this case Azerbaijan's stance at the talks will be even tougher and we must not agree to anything under any circumstances apart from cultural autonomy for the Armenians with the establishment of an Azerbaijani administration in Karabakh," the plan's authors say.

However, there seems to be no lack of determined plans in Yerevan either. National Security Council Secretary Serzh Sarkisyan said yesterday that Armenia was also prepared for another armed conflict. According to him, army's level of combat readiness is higher now than at any time in the past six years.
[Brat 3: Delaware University I]

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